PREDICTION OF THE DOLLAR PRICE IN 1402 IN THE CONDITIONS OF SANCTIONS AND

Prediction of the dollar price in 1402 in the conditions of sanctions and

Prediction of the dollar price in 1402 in the conditions of sanctions and

Blog Article

Prediction of the dollar price in 1402 in the conditions of sanctions and


What is the forecast of the dollar price in 1402? If you also have this question, stay with us in this article to state some rates for the dollar.


 


The prediction of the price of the dollar in 1402 is associated with various theories . From political agreements to the amount of oil sales and most importantly, the US presidential election that will take place later this year . This international currency has increased in price by about 1351401. Stay with us to review the analysis of this currency in the coming year .


What parameters does the dollar price depend on?


To predict the price of the dollar , the currency that has the highest volatility in our country, we must first get to know the factors affecting its price change . In this regard, it should be said :



  • Supply and demand : It is obvious that the amount of supply and demand is considered as an important economic factor . The higher the demand for currency, the faster its growth .

  • Interest rate : One of the most important determining factors in the value of the dollar is the interest rate. This item, usually with the announcement of the interest rate of the Federal Reserve or the central bank, will have an important impact on predicting the price of the dollar and its valueIn general, the more the interest rate increases, the value of the dollar increases accordingly, and the prediction of the price of the dollar in the coming days is likely to increase. You can see the daily price of the dollar on the " Alan Chand " website .

  • Inflation : The growth of inflation in Iran, which is 43.6 % according to Central Bank statistics, is one of the factors that weakens the Rial currency . As a result, with the decrease in the value of the national currency of a country against other currencies, the price of the dollar increases . These days, the sharp increase in the price of the dollar is caused by the sharp drop in the value of the Rial, which manifests itself as inflation in the society . It is interesting to know that the inflation rate in the United States is 6.5 %, and its value also decreases due to inflation, but due to preventive measures and the huge difference in inflation in the two countries, the drop of the dollar against the Rial is not very noticeable .

  • Monetary base : This case is also highly influential in the Iranian society for the fluctuation of the dollar . The monetary base leads to an increase in liquidity . With the flow of liquidity, the demand increases and leads to inflation and its complications . Some manifestations of this issue include lack of balanced economic growth or lack of value creation .


 


Getting to know the valuation of the dollar price


Prediction of the price of the dollar in 1402 with the continuation of sanctions


Now we are going to predict the price of the dollar in the new year, in this regard, we can mention 2 general strategies . Continuation of sanctions or their removal . To predict the price of the dollar , you can look at this issue from several different points of view, which are:



  • Forecast of the budget and program organization of the price of the dollar : in this forecast, a picture of which has been published in the virtual space, the price of the dollar was estimated at around 48 thousand tomans despite the sanctions . However, this goal was not achieved properly even for 1401 and the dollar price exceeded it .

  • Technical forecast : If we want to check this issue from a technical point of view, we should have a look at the dollar chart . However, you should know that due to the sharp growth of the dollar in recent weeks, exact numbers cannot be obtained to predict this currency, but in imprecise cases, the price of the dollar can be considered with a target of 60-70 thousand tomans .

  • Prediction based on the past : Another way to predict the price of the dollar in 1402 is to use the history of its changes . In this case, according to the table below, the dollar price in 1402 can be considered to be around 75 ( with a 50 % growth ) to 120 Tomans ( with a 135 % growth ) .



















































































Year



1401



1400



1399



1398


     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     

Dollar increase percentage



135 percent



51 percent



60 percent



15 percent



As a result, the currency market in 1402 is able to experience higher fluctuations . Because the estimated minimum and maximum intervals are very far from each other .


 


Dollar price forecast in 1402 with sanctions


Dollar price forecast in 1402 without sanctions


Another scenario that is considered for predicting the price of the dollar in 1402 is moving towards the agreement and its revival . In this case, the following analyzes can be mentioned :



  • Forecast of the budget organization of the dollar price : According to the announcement table of this organization, the price of the dollar without sanctions in 1402 is about 46 thousand tomans .

  • Economic forecast : If we want to consider the price of the dollar from an economic point of view, its growth should be adjusted according to the difference between the inflation of the dollar and the rial . If there were no sanctions, considering the base year in which the dollar was stable, for example 2013 , the price of the dollar in 1401 can be considered around 27 and in 1402 around 35 .

  • Prediction based on the past : If we want to have an estimate of the dollar rate with the lifting of sanctions based on the performance of the past years, especially the lifting of sanctions in the previous government, we can say :



















































































Year



1396



1395



1394



1393


     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     

Dollar increase percentage



32 percent



21.23 percent



17.9 percent



17.26 percent



Taking into account the JCPOA agreement in 2014, which led to a 10 % drop in the price of the dollar, the forecast of the dollar price with the JCPOA agreement is that the price of this currency will decrease by at least 10 % and will remain in the range of 50 to 68 Tomans . You can see more analyzes and the daily price of different currencies on the " Alan Chand " site .


Prediction of the price of the dollar in the next year without sanctions


 


Frequently asked questions


Among the frequently asked questions that you may have about predicting the price of the dollar and its fluctuations, we can say :



  • Which market grew more in 1401 ?


To answer this question, it is necessary to compare the yield of gold, dollar, housing and stock market .



















































































Asset type



Dollar



gold coin



Exchange



Housing


     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     

Efficiency rate



135 percent



137 percent



48.9 percent



35 percent




To answer this question, we must examine the conditions that occur this year . From the status of sanctions to the amount of oil sales and the government's economic policies, they are all important .


You, the users , can see the price of more than 38 important currencies in the world, the price of more than 15 cryptocurrencies, and the price of gold and coins on the " Alan Chand " site .


 



 

Report this page